Sara Duterte and Raffy Tulfo Neck-and-Neck in Philippine Poll

May 6, 2026

65 min

May 6, 2026 04:30

Philippines: Sara Duterte, Raffy Tulfo in dead heat in latest Puls Asia survey

## Survey Overview

A recent survey by Pulse Asia Research Inc. reveals a close contest between Vice President Sara Duterte and Senator Raffy Tulfo for the Philippine presidency. Conducted in March 2026, the poll indicates both candidates are tied with 46% support each if elections were held today.

## Regional Preferences

The survey highlights regional differences in voter preferences. In the National Capital Region, both candidates are tied at 42%. Tulfo shows strong support in Luzon, leading with 72% compared to Duterte's 19%. Conversely, Duterte dominates in the Visayas and Mindanao, securing 64% and 90% respectively.

## Social Class Divisions

The poll also uncovers class-based divides. Among the ABC social class, Tulfo leads with 49% over Duterte's 29%. However, Duterte has a slight edge in Class D and a significant lead in Class E.

## Additional Matchup

In another survey scenario against former Vice President Leni Robredo, Duterte leads with 51% to Robredo's 43%. Robredo, however, has a stronghold in Luzon, while Duterte maintains her lead in the Visayas and Mindanao.

## Survey Details

The survey, commissioned by Senator Juan Miguel Zubiri, involved 1,200 adult respondents nationwide and has a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points. Zubiri emphasized the importance of such surveys in understanding voter preferences and potential leadership trends for the 2028 elections.

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